Finite-sample optimal FDR-FNR frontier under the two-group model
Sourced from the work of Yutong Nie, Yihong Wu
§ Problem Statement
Setup
Fix a finite integer . For each , let be the latent hypothesis state, where means null and means non-null. Assume are i.i.d. with and . Conditional on , the test statistic takes values in a measurable space and has distribution
where are known and dominated by a common measure (densities may be used). Assume conditional independence across : given , the variables are independent.
This setup follows Nie & Wu (2023).
A (possibly compound, randomized) multiple-testing rule is any measurable map that, from and an auxiliary random seed independent of the data, outputs decisions ( means reject ). Define
The false discovery rate and false non-discovery rate are
where expectations are under the full two-group model (including rule randomization).
For , define the finite-sample constrained objective
Unsolved Problem
Determine exactly (or derive non-asymptotic minimax-sharp upper and lower bounds) as an explicit function of , and characterize all optimal rules that attain (or provably approximate sharply) this infimum, allowing fully compound and randomized procedures.
§ Discussion
§ Significance & Implications
Nie and Wu's 2023 preprint establishes asymptotic limits as , but does not provide a complete exact finite- frontier characterization. Treating the finite-sample frontier as an open objective is therefore the conservative reading; resolving it would quantify finite-vs-asymptotic gaps and guide practical procedure design.
§ Known Partial Results
Nie et al. (2023): The cited work characterizes asymptotically optimal FDR-FNR tradeoffs under the two-group random-mixture model and shows compound rules are necessary for asymptotic optimality (in contrast to mFDR-mFNR). The exact finite-sample frontier characterization is treated as open.
§ References
Large-Scale Multiple Testing: Fundamental Limits of False Discovery Rate Control and Compound Oracle
Yutong Nie, Yihong Wu (2023)
arXiv preprint
📍 arXiv:2302.06809v3 PDF, Section 1.1 (Background and problem formulation), p. 3, immediately after Eq. (2) defining $FNR_n^*(\alpha)$: "it still remains open how to find the optimal decision rule to characterize the finite-sample tradeoff between FDR and FNR."
Primary preprint source for the asymptotic frontier and explicit finite-sample open-direction wording.
Large-Scale Multiple Testing: Fundamental Limits of False Discovery Rate Control and Compound Oracle
Yutong Nie, Yihong Wu (2026)
Annals of Statistics 54(1):232-264
📍 Project Euclid article metadata/citation page for Annals of Statistics, Vol. 54, No. 1 (2026), pp. 232-264.
Final journal publication metadata, kept separate from the 2023 preprint record.